Bayesian Inference In Dynamic Econometric Models Advanced Texts In Econometrics

This book is a comprehensive coverage of Bayesian inference in econometrics, with an emphasis on dynamic models. It shows how to treat Bayesian inference in non linear models, by integrating the useful developments of numerical integration techniques based on simulations (such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods), and the long available analytical results of Bayesian inference for linear regression models. It thus covers a broad range of models for economic time series, such as non linear models, autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic regressions, and cointegrated vector autoregressive models. It also has an extensive chapter on unit root inference from the Bayesian viewpoint. Several examples illustrate the methods.

This work contains an up-to-date coverage of the last 20 years' advances in Bayesian inference in econometrics, with an emphasis on dynamic models. It shows how to treat Bayesian inference in non linear models, by integrating the useful developments of numerical integration techniques based on simulations (such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods), and the long available analytical results of Bayesian inference for linear regression models. It thus covers a broad range of rather recent models for economic time series, such as non linear models, autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic regressions, and cointegrated vector autoregressive models. It contains also an extensive chapter on unit root inference from the Bayesian viewpoint. Several examples illustrate the methods. This book is intended for econometrics and statistics postgraduates, professors and researchers in economics departments, business schools, statistics departments, or any research centre in the same fields, especially econometricians. Review: it can serve as a useful textbook for advanced undergraduate or graduate courses in either time series analysis or econometrics. Paul Goodwin, International Journal of Forecasting, 2000 presents a comprehensive review of dynamic econometric models from a Bayesian perspective ... four insightful introductory chapters ... provide a valuable synthesis of current ideas and their applications to parameter estimation Paul Goodwin, International Journal of Forecasting, 2000